Issue opens: February 19, 2008
Issue closes: February 22, 2008
Price band:
90-105
Face Value:
10
Issue size (in value):
1,405 - 1,639 crore
Issue size (in volume): 156,120,000 shares
Retail Minimum Bid: 60 Shares (in multiple
thereof)
Retail Maximum Bid: 900 Shares
Recommendation: Subscribe
Industry Overview:
The
Indian government has an objective of achieving “Power
for all by 2012”. The development of the power sector
has traditionally been the responsibility of the
government through the central and state utilities, with
a relatively insignificant contribution by the private
sector. In order to reduce the gap between supply and
demand, the Indian government formulated policies in
1991 for increasing the role of the private sector in
the power sector of the country. The 1991 policies have
been revised and modified through enactment of the
Electricity Act 2003 (the “Electricity Act”).
To improve the distribution of
power and accelerate the distribution of power reforms, in March
2003 the Government of India formulated the APDRP. The
objectives of this programme are to improve the financial
viability of state power utilities, reduce aggregate technical
and commercial losses, improve customer satisfaction and
increase the reliability and quality of the power supply by
reducing outages and interruptions. Government of
Indiaseeks to reform the
power distribution sector by providing investment and incentives
to SEBs and SPUs and distribution companies to strengthen and
improve sub-transmission systems and distribution networks.
Under APDRP, the government provides funds as additional
assistance in form of grants to states that have committed
themselves to a time-bound programme of reforms. The additional
funds allocated to SEBs and SPUs are to be utilized for
upgrading and modernizing certain sub-transmission and
distribution networks.
Company background:
Rural
Electrification Corporation (REC) was incorporated on
July 25, 1969 under the Companies Act 1956. REC is a
wholly owned Government of India Public Sector
Enterprise with a net worth of
3779 Crore. Its main
objective is to finance and promote rural
electrification projects all over the country. It
provides financial assistance to State Electricity
Boards, State Government Departments and Rural Electric
Cooperatives for rural electrification projects as are
sponsored by them. The company provides funding to its
clients and assists them in formulating and implementing
various types of power project related schemes. REC’s
clients include public sector power utilities at the
central and state levels and private sector power
utilities. Additionally, they fund power projects for
their joint sector clients. REC’s financial products
primarily include long-term loans, short-term loans,
bridge loans and debt refinancing. Rural Electrification
Corporation occupy a unique position within the area of
rural electrification of India and the company believe
that they will continue to play an integral role in
implementing the government’s rural electrification
strategy. ECB currently administer grants and provide
loans as the nodal agency for the RGGVY, which is
primarily aimed at the electrification of all villages
in
India
.
Objects of the Issue:
Rural Electrification Corporation
(REC) intends to use the issue proceeds of
1,405-1,639 crore
for augmenting its capital base to meet future capital
requirements arising out of its business growth and for other
general corporate purposes.
Valuation:
REC along with PFC is the pioneers
in the business of power sector financing in the country. The
business of the company can be strictly comparable with that of
PFC as both have same kind of shareholding pattern and business
activity. But in terms of loan exposure REC has considerable
exposure to T&D sector as against PFC’s considerable exposure to
the generation segment. In T&D segment the loan repayment period
is relatively lower as compared to the generation projects. But
recently the disbursement by REC to the generation projects has
witnessed a spike due to increased activity in the generation
activity in the country. However the T&D sector will continue to
dominate in the asset composition of the company in the long
run. At the higher and lower price band the issue is priced at
2x and 1.8x to book values based on FY07 financials. The TTM
P/BV of PFC stands at 1.9. Therefore we recommend investors to
subscribe to the issue at the higher price band of the issue
price.
Key Risks:
-
Concentration Risks: The Company exclusively focuses
on power projects and related activities and intends to
continue to be a sector specific public financial
institution with a focus on Indian power sector. The
power projects involve project specific and general
risks against its exposure to single borrower and
borrower groups remain significantly high. Any negative
trends or financial difficulties in the Indian power
sector could adversely affect its business and financial
performance.
- Potential
difficulties in recoveries: As discussed previously,
REC's clientele primarily consists of state electricity
boards and other public sector entities. The heavily
skewed loan portfolio towards entities, which have been
making losses for past many years, raises concerns
regarding the recovery of debt. Currently, the asset
quality of the company is quite healthy, but there
exists an uncertainty over REC's ability to maintain the
asset quality at current levels
Vignesh. S
vignesh@paterson.co.in
044 - 25331504